M. H. Javidi, A. Asrari,
Volume 8, Issue 4 (12-2012)
Abstract
Abstract- In a typical competitive electricity market, a large number of short-term and long-term contracts are set on basis of energy price by an Independent System Operator (ISO). Under such circumstances, accurate electricity price forecasting can play a significant role in improving the more reasonable bidding strategies adopted by the electricity market participants. So, they cannot only raise their profit but also manage the relevant market more efficiently. This conspicuous reason has motivated the researchers to develop the most accurate, though sophisticated, forecasting models to predict the short-term electricity price as precisely as possible. In this article, a new method is suggested to forecast the next day's electricity price of Iranian Electricity Market. The authors have used this hybrid model successfully in their previous publications to predict the electric load data of Ontario Electricity Market [1] and of the Spinning Reserve data of Khorasan Electricity Network [2] respectively.
A. Afrush, M. Shahriari-Kahkeshi,
Volume 15, Issue 2 (6-2019)
Abstract
This paper proposes an adaptive approximation-based controller for uncertain strict-feedback nonlinear systems with unknown dead-zone nonlinearity. Dead-zone constraint is represented as a combination of a linear system with a disturbance-like term. This work invokes neural networks (NNs) as a linear-in-parameter approximator to model uncertain nonlinear functions that appear in virtual and actual control laws. Minimal learning parameter (MLP) algorithm is proposed to decrease the computational load, the number of adjustable parameters, and to avoid the “explosion of learning parameters” problem. An adaptive TSK-type fuzzy system is proposed to estimate the disturbance-like term in the dead-zone description which further will be used to compensate the effect of the dead-zone, and it does not require the availability of the dead-zone input. Then, the proposed method based on the dynamic surface control (DSC) method is designed which avoids the “explosion of complexity” problem. Proposed scheme deals with dead-zone nonlinearity and uncertain dynamics without requiring the availability of any knowledge about them, and it develops a control input without singularity concern. Stability analysis shows that all the signals of the closed-loop system are semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded and the tracking error converges to the vicinity of the origin. Simulation and comparison results verify the acceptable performance of the presented controller.
